Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuraly wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.7% vs Boyd 43.9% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 89.4%
Defensive zone
Boyd 52.3%
Neutral zone
Boyd 73.2%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Kuraly
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kuraly
Boyd
Last 7: Kuraly 2-5 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
4
Kuraly
Boyd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
1
Kuraly
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (901)
43.4% (893)
+5.8%
Power Play
68.2% (22)
51.5% (136)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (219)
34.6% (127)
+15.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Kuraly shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Boyd
Home
51.7% (603)
46.0% (570)
Away
47.3% (539)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Kuraly
Boyd
P1
50.9%
38.9%
P2
49.5%
50.4%
P3
49.1%
41.1%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |