Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hertl wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 52.3% vs Boyd 45.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 75.0%
Defensive zone
Boyd 72.4%
Neutral zone
Boyd 83.1%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Hertl
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hertl
Boyd
Last 7: Hertl 1-6 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
3
Hertl
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
3
Hertl
Boyd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,084)
45.9% (784)
+5.7%
Power Play
61.0% (246)
43.2% (81)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
40.3% (62)
+3.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Hertl shoots left. Boyd is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Hertl
Boyd
Home
55.2% (696)
45.1% (501)
Away
50.0% (770)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Hertl
Boyd
P1
55.4%
45.9%
P2
54.8%
44.6%
P3
48.9%
45.8%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |