Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.0% vs Zajac 54.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 69.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 88.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 81.0%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Kelly
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kelly
Zajac
Last 10: Kelly 3-7 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
4
Kelly
Zajac
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
3
Kelly
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (456)
55.7% (1,020)
-5.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
52.7% (201)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (118)
50.3% (173)
-5.4%
On power play, Zajac has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Kelly is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Kelly shoots left. Zajac is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Kelly
Zajac
Home
51.4% (350)
54.9% (685)
Away
45.0% (229)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Kelly
Zajac
P1
46.9%
54.6%
P2
53.6%
55.5%
P3
46.8%
54.2%
OT
0.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |