Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.1% vs Zajac 50.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 80.8%
Defensive zone
Zajac 64.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 60.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Spezza
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Spezza
Zajac
Last 8: Spezza 6-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
1
Spezza
Zajac
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Spezza
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (654)
50.8% (775)
+5.6%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
61.5% (117)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
45.0% (202)
+5.0%
On power play, Zajac has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Spezza is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Spezza shoots right. Zajac is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Spezza
Zajac
Home
61.4% (352)
52.2% (536)
Away
50.9% (395)
49.6% (558)
By Period
Spezza
Zajac
P1
60.6%
53.6%
P2
54.8%
50.9%
P3
52.5%
48.7%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |