Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kellman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kellman 47.9% vs Zajac 52.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 67.4%
Defensive zone
Zajac 84.7%
Neutral zone
Zajac 74.1%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Kellman
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kellman
Zajac
Last 6: Kellman 4-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kellman
2
1
Kellman
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kellman
1
0
Kellman
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kellman
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kellman
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (223)
53.9% (851)
-7.3%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
49.0% (49)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
48.9% (190)
-11.4%
On power play, Kellman has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Kellman is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Kellman shoots left. Zajac is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Kellman
Zajac
Home
42.9% (126)
53.3% (533)
Away
51.8% (112)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Kellman
Zajac
P1
48.8%
54.3%
P2
53.4%
51.8%
P3
40.0%
53.2%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |