Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Raffl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raffl wins 61.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raffl 50.2% vs Zajac 52.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raffl 69.1%
Defensive zone
Zajac 76.4%
Neutral zone
Zajac 56.2%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Raffl
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Raffl
Zajac
Last 6: Raffl 3-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
2
1
Raffl
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Raffl
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raffl
1
0
Raffl
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raffl
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (183)
53.9% (851)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
49.0% (49)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
48.9% (190)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Raffl has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Raffl is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Raffl shoots left. Zajac is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Raffl
Zajac
Home
52.1% (94)
53.3% (533)
Away
48.5% (103)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Raffl
Zajac
P1
51.6%
54.3%
P2
47.3%
51.8%
P3
53.4%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
42.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
50.3%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |