Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.9% vs Zajac 53.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 64.3%
Defensive zone
Zajac 82.6%
Neutral zone
Zajac 75.6%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Richards
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Richards
Zajac
Last 6: Richards 5-1 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
0
Richards
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (529)
53.6% (932)
-4.1%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
55.0% (129)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (28)
50.4% (139)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Richards is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Richards shoots left. Zajac is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Home / Away
Richards
Zajac
Home
47.9% (292)
55.8% (661)
Away
49.5% (301)
50.5% (539)
By Period
Richards
Zajac
P1
46.0%
55.7%
P2
52.0%
50.0%
P3
48.1%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Mike Richards |