Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.9%). Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Patrick wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 50.5% vs Zajac 50.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 55.0%
Defensive zone
Zajac 80.8%
Neutral zone
Zajac 69.7%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Patrick
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Patrick
Zajac
Last 10: Patrick 6-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
4
1
Patrick
Zajac
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Patrick
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
4
2
Patrick
Zajac
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (719)
50.8% (775)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
61.5% (117)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
45.0% (202)
+5.0%
On power play, Zajac has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Patrick is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Patrick shoots right. Zajac is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Patrick
Zajac
Home
50.1% (391)
52.2% (536)
Away
51.1% (352)
49.6% (558)
By Period
Patrick
Zajac
P1
54.4%
53.6%
P2
49.3%
50.9%
P3
47.5%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | OT | 01:35 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | OT | 01:33 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |