Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Travis Zajac
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% vs Zajac 52.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.6%
Defensive zone
Zajac 58.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 2-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (351)
53.9% (851)
-1.8%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
49.0% (49)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (39)
48.9% (190)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Zajac is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
Home
50.0% (198)
53.3% (533)
Away
51.5% (206)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
P1
52.1%
54.3%
P2
48.8%
51.8%
P3
50.4%
53.2%
OT
75.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
44.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |