Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.5%). Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 54 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zajac 54.2% vs Bozak 53.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 65-65 in 130 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 60.0%
Defensive zone
Zajac 57.5%
Neutral zone
Zajac 53.6%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Zajac
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
65
-
65
(130 meetings)
65
65
Zajac
Bozak
Last 10: Zajac 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
23
31
Zajac
Bozak
54 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
23
20
Zajac
Bozak
43 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
19
14
Zajac
Bozak
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zajac
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (9,056)
53.7% (9,596)
+0.7%
Power Play
59.1% (1,498)
55.2% (1,990)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (1,599)
48.0% (1,094)
+0.6%
On power play, Zajac has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Zajac shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Zajac
Bozak
Home
55.5% (6,156)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
53.0% (6,038)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Zajac
Bozak
P1
53.8%
53.2%
P2
55.6%
52.8%
P3
53.6%
54.5%
OT
52.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |