Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zajac 51.4% vs Smith 51.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 60.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 56.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Zajac
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Zajac
Smith
Last 5: Zajac 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Zajac
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zajac
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Zajac
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zajac
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (986)
53.6% (550)
-1.8%
Power Play
61.1% (185)
53.5% (71)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (216)
43.5% (108)
-1.4%
On power play, Zajac has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Zajac is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Zajac shoots right. Smith is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Zajac
Smith
Home
54.0% (672)
56.5% (352)
Away
49.2% (715)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Zajac
Smith
P1
53.1%
52.0%
P2
52.2%
51.5%
P3
50.1%
52.2%
OT
38.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Zack Smith |