Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings). Zajac wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zajac 54.2% vs Smith 50.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 39-29 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 69.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 69.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 70.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Zajac
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
39
(68 meetings)
29
39
Zajac
Smith
Last 10: Zajac 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
14
11
Zajac
Smith
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
8
16
Zajac
Smith
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
7
12
Zajac
Smith
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zajac
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (9,056)
51.6% (5,265)
+2.8%
Power Play
59.1% (1,498)
51.2% (342)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (1,599)
45.3% (985)
+3.3%
On power play, Zajac has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Zajac shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Zajac
Smith
Home
55.5% (6,156)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
53.0% (6,038)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Zajac
Smith
P1
53.8%
49.9%
P2
55.6%
50.0%
P3
53.6%
51.9%
OT
52.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
54.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2019 | OT | 03:29 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:43 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:37 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |