Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zajac wins 58.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zajac 57.6% vs Smith 49.2% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 92.8%
Defensive zone
Zajac 81.6%
Neutral zone
Zajac 91.6%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Zajac
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Zajac
Smith
Last 5: Zajac 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
0
Zajac
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zajac
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zajac
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (1,044)
50.9% (666)
+7.8%
Power Play
59.2% (211)
70.0% (10)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (191)
39.6% (144)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Zajac is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,002).
Zajac shoots right. Smith is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Zajac
Smith
Home
60.2% (741)
50.9% (405)
Away
56.0% (705)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Zajac
Smith
P1
53.1%
47.1%
P2
62.0%
49.6%
P3
59.0%
50.4%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
58.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |