Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frederic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frederic 46.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 50.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.3%
Neutral zone
Frederic 50.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Frederic
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Frederic
Gourde
Last 6: Frederic 3-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Frederic
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
3
0
Frederic
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Frederic
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frederic
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (909)
48.4% (4,954)
-2.1%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
57.4% (376)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (31)
39.9% (554)
-4.4%
On power play, Frederic has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Frederic is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Frederic shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Frederic
Gourde
Home
47.6% (485)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
45.4% (485)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Frederic
Gourde
P1
41.9%
49.9%
P2
48.0%
47.4%
P3
49.8%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
46.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |