Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frederic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frederic 46.5% vs Gourde 48.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 55.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Frederic
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Frederic
Gourde
Last 6: Frederic 3-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Frederic
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
3
0
Frederic
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Frederic
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frederic
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (262)
48.0% (914)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
54.2% (48)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
43.9% (123)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Frederic is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Frederic shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Frederic
Gourde
Home
44.1% (152)
50.2% (512)
Away
46.8% (139)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Frederic
Gourde
P1
41.7%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
45.3%
P3
45.6%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |