Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 60.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Lewis 45.8% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 92.5%
Defensive zone
Stastny 88.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 92.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Stastny
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Stastny
Lewis
Last 5: Stastny 5-0 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Lewis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,136)
45.1% (173)
+9.9%
Power Play
57.5% (200)
37.5% (8)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
35.3% (17)
+17.8%
On power play, Stastny has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Stastny is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Stastny shoots left. Lewis is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Stastny
Lewis
Home
58.5% (744)
48.3% (89)
Away
52.1% (680)
40.0% (110)
By Period
Stastny
Lewis
P1
57.9%
48.5%
P2
54.9%
45.1%
P3
53.0%
35.6%
OT
72.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2012 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |