Scouting Report
Ryan O'Marra holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Marra on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Marra wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Marra 45.0% vs Lewis 41.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Marra 74.3%
Defensive zone
O'Marra 72.4%
Neutral zone
O'Marra 72.2%
Result
Ryan O'Marra favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
O'Marra
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
O'Marra
Lewis
Last 8: O'Marra 7-1 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
1
0
O'Marra
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
2
0
O'Marra
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Marra
4
1
O'Marra
Lewis
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Marra
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (158)
39.6% (351)
+4.1%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
60.0% (5)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
33.3% (27)
+3.1%
On power play, Lewis has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. O'Marra is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (45).
O'Marra shoots right. Lewis is 37.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
O'Marra
Lewis
Home
48.1% (108)
38.2% (178)
Away
32.9% (70)
40.1% (207)
By Period
O'Marra
Lewis
P1
51.5%
39.9%
P2
38.7%
40.1%
P3
32.6%
36.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |