Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.2% vs Smith 51.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 70.3%
Defensive zone
Little 50.0%
Neutral zone
Little 59.2%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Little
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Little
Smith
Last 5: Little 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Little
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Little
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,128)
53.7% (449)
-4.2%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
80.0% (10)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (207)
43.1% (102)
-2.0%
On power play, Smith has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Little is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Little shoots right. Smith is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Little
Smith
Home
54.1% (756)
55.0% (280)
Away
44.4% (795)
49.5% (281)
By Period
Little
Smith
P1
49.5%
52.3%
P2
50.2%
52.1%
P3
48.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.1%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Bryan Little |