Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Smith wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 48.7% vs Fiddler 52.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 75.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 51.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 57.6%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Smith
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Smith
Fiddler
Last 10: Smith 4-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Fiddler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
3
Smith
Fiddler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
2
Smith
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
53.7% (4,899)
-4.7%
Power Play
63.6% (22)
50.0% (154)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (118)
46.9% (1,479)
-4.5%
On power play, Smith has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Smith shoots left. Fiddler is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Smith
Fiddler
Home
52.4% (490)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
44.0% (420)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Smith
Fiddler
P1
46.9%
52.1%
P2
51.2%
52.6%
P3
47.7%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |