Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +18.5% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 35.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 40.4% vs Seguin 52.5% (-18.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 51.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 90.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 71.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Zegras
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zegras
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
0
Zegras
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
33.6% (143)
53.2% (201)
-19.6%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
60.0% (25)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (9)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zegras is 35.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Zegras shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Zegras
Seguin
Home
31.6% (98)
56.3% (126)
Away
39.1% (87)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Zegras
Seguin
P1
38.9%
44.3%
P2
38.0%
52.1%
P3
27.1%
62.5%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
29.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |