Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +23.3% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 29.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 35.4% vs Seguin 52.5% (-23.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 92.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 79.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Zegras
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zegras
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
0
Zegras
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
29.6% (230)
53.2% (201)
-23.6%
Power Play
32.1% (56)
60.0% (25)
-27.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (9)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Zegras shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Zegras
Seguin
Home
30.6% (147)
56.3% (126)
Away
30.0% (140)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Zegras
Seguin
P1
33.0%
44.3%
P2
31.7%
52.1%
P3
25.6%
62.5%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
29.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |