Trevor Zegras vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +26.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zegras wins 29.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 35.4% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-26.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 75.5%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 71.1%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 52.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Zegras
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zegras
Trocheck
Last 5: Zegras 2-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Zegras
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zegras
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
29.6% (230)
57.8% (626)
-28.2%
Power Play
32.1% (56)
63.6% (151)
-31.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.0% (141)
+56.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Zegras shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Zegras
Trocheck
Home
30.6% (147)
54.4% (390)
Away
30.0% (140)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Zegras
Trocheck
P1
33.0%
56.4%
P2
31.7%
58.7%
P3
25.6%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
29.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |