Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Brouwer 50.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 73.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Staal
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Staal
Brouwer
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Brouwer
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Brouwer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Brouwer
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,171)
50.8% (122)
+4.5%
Power Play
56.6% (173)
52.3% (193)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (133)
49.6% (121)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Brouwer has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Staal is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Staal shoots left. Brouwer is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Staal
Brouwer
Home
54.7% (720)
56.6% (221)
Away
54.0% (757)
45.6% (215)
By Period
Staal
Brouwer
P1
51.2%
54.6%
P2
57.4%
48.0%
P3
54.6%
50.3%
OT
52.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
59.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |