Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Foligno wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.2% vs Brouwer 55.6% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 66.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 62.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 66.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Foligno
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Foligno
Brouwer
Last 5: Foligno 1-4 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
1
Foligno
Brouwer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
1
3
Foligno
Brouwer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (227)
56.1% (171)
-9.0%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
60.0% (170)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (21)
53.0% (100)
-0.6%
On power play, Brouwer has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Foligno is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Foligno shoots left. Brouwer is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Foligno
Brouwer
Home
45.7% (116)
61.8% (225)
Away
49.0% (147)
51.9% (216)
By Period
Foligno
Brouwer
P1
53.8%
57.8%
P2
50.0%
49.0%
P3
40.4%
65.2%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |