Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.6%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brouwer 50.5% vs Smith 50.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Brouwer 66.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 57.1%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 56.8%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Brouwer
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Brouwer
Smith
Last 10: Brouwer 2-8 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brouwer
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
7
Brouwer
Smith
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Brouwer
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brouwer
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (702)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.7% (551)
51.2% (342)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (412)
45.3% (985)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Brouwer is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,203).
Brouwer shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Brouwer
Smith
Home
53.5% (854)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
47.3% (811)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Brouwer
Smith
P1
51.4%
49.9%
P2
49.3%
50.0%
P3
51.2%
51.9%
OT
43.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2018 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 09:36 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Zack Smith |