Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 92.6%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 78.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 56.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Frost
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Frost
Dellandrea
Last 10: Frost 5-5 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
9
1
Frost
Dellandrea
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
2
5
Frost
Dellandrea
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
4
1
Frost
Dellandrea
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
50.5% (1,108)
-1.1%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
59.4% (32)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
43.4% (318)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Frost shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Frost
Dellandrea
Home
51.0% (2,047)
49.4% (741)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
49.0% (717)
By Period
Frost
Dellandrea
P1
50.8%
49.7%
P2
51.1%
48.6%
P3
48.5%
49.4%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |