Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 43.9% vs Dellandrea 49.9% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dellandrea 87.4%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 66.7%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 83.9%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Kelly
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kelly
Dellandrea
Last 6: Kelly 4-2 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Dellandrea
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Kelly
Dellandrea
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (556)
51.1% (356)
-6.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
100.0% (6)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (144)
36.8% (57)
+0.0%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Kelly is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Kelly shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Kelly
Dellandrea
Home
44.8% (368)
46.7% (180)
Away
41.0% (334)
52.3% (239)
By Period
Kelly
Dellandrea
P1
46.7%
47.8%
P2
48.0%
50.9%
P3
34.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
35.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
43.0%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |