Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.4% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dellandrea 72.4%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 73.8%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 61.9%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Poehling
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Poehling
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Dellandrea
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
1
Poehling
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (626)
54.1% (355)
-4.3%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
53.8% (13)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (207)
47.6% (143)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Dellandrea has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Poehling shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Poehling
Dellandrea
Home
47.3% (404)
54.3% (278)
Away
46.9% (441)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Poehling
Dellandrea
P1
53.5%
54.2%
P2
39.4%
50.6%
P3
49.1%
51.8%
OT
35.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |