Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Bozak 52.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 86.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 60.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Henrique
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Henrique
Bozak
Last 9: Henrique 7-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
2
Henrique
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
51.7% (913)
-3.7%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
55.9% (211)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
54.9% (51)
-3.7%
On even strength, Bozak has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Henrique is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Henrique shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bozak
Home
51.2% (461)
52.8% (615)
Away
46.9% (565)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Henrique
Bozak
P1
49.5%
52.5%
P2
48.5%
51.1%
P3
49.1%
55.2%
OT
22.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |