Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Prust wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Prust 48.4% vs Bozak 52.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 58.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 66.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 63.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Prust
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Prust
Bozak
Last 5: Prust 3-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Prust
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Prust
2
0
Prust
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Prust
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Prust
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (32)
52.8% (697)
-9.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
50.9% (171)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
53.3% (195)
-8.3%
On power play, Prust has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Prust is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Prust shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Prust
Bozak
Home
47.2% (36)
52.1% (530)
Away
42.1% (19)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Prust
Bozak
P1
50.0%
54.1%
P2
50.0%
50.6%
P3
35.3%
53.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Prust
52.0%▬
52.0%
45.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Brandon Prust |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Brandon Prust |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Brandon Prust |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |