Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gionta wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 44.2% vs Bozak 53.0% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 62.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 51.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 53.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Gionta
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Gionta
Bozak
Last 10: Gionta 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
Gionta
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
4
3
Gionta
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (63)
53.8% (1,244)
-12.5%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
53.1% (356)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (69)
49.1% (175)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gionta is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Gionta shoots right. Bozak is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Gionta
Bozak
Home
40.7% (81)
57.7% (892)
Away
40.9% (88)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Gionta
Bozak
P1
38.5%
54.0%
P2
32.7%
54.4%
P3
47.9%
51.0%
OT
40.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
35.9%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2015 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2015 | OT | 04:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2015 | OT | 02:31 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 11, 2015 | OT | 00:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |