Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Malgin wins 34.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 44.8% vs Bozak 53.9% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malgin 68.1%
Defensive zone
Malgin 60.6%
Neutral zone
Malgin 66.7%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Malgin
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Malgin
Bozak
Last 7: Malgin 2-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malgin
1
0
Malgin
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Malgin
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Malgin
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (87)
55.4% (719)
-18.6%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
45.1% (51)
+54.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
50.0% (60)
+16.7%
On power play, Malgin has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Malgin is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Malgin shoots right. Bozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Malgin
Bozak
Home
38.2% (34)
55.5% (443)
Away
39.7% (58)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Malgin
Bozak
P1
36.7%
53.3%
P2
42.9%
54.7%
P3
37.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Denis Malgin |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |