Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gambrell wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 44.6% vs Bozak 55.4% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gambrell 57.6%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 62.7%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 62.3%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Gambrell
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gambrell
Bozak
Last 6: Gambrell 2-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
Gambrell
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Gambrell
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (500)
58.3% (271)
-13.7%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
60.6% (33)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (129)
50.0% (78)
-8.9%
On power play, Bozak has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gambrell is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Gambrell shoots right. Bozak is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Bozak
Home
41.6% (363)
60.7% (206)
Away
46.7% (274)
52.3% (176)
By Period
Gambrell
Bozak
P1
42.2%
57.3%
P2
46.2%
57.8%
P3
43.8%
56.2%
OT
14.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |