Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rodrigues wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 44.0% vs Bozak 53.3% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 54.5%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 64.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 62.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Rodrigues
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Rodrigues
Bozak
Last 9: Rodrigues 3-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
5
Rodrigues
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
1
Rodrigues
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (338)
53.6% (977)
-12.2%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
52.2% (186)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
100.0% (6)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Rodrigues is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Rodrigues shoots right. Bozak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Bozak
Home
40.9% (159)
55.4% (583)
Away
43.5% (209)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Rodrigues
Bozak
P1
47.8%
51.9%
P2
37.6%
51.1%
P3
42.1%
57.9%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |