Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.9% vs Bozak 55.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 87.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 75.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 73.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 83.6%
16.4%
83.6%
Kuznetsov
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Kuznetsov
Bozak
Last 9: Kuznetsov 9-0 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
6
0
Kuznetsov
Bozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
0
Kuznetsov
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,028)
56.4% (837)
-8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (94)
60.8% (186)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
33.3% (36)
+6.7%
On power play, Bozak has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Bozak
Home
49.8% (592)
58.7% (516)
Away
45.5% (545)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Bozak
P1
49.0%
55.7%
P2
49.3%
53.4%
P3
45.3%
59.7%
OT
40.7%
63.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2015 | OT | 04:12 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |