Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). O'Brien wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 47.0% vs Bozak 52.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Brien 68.2%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 71.0%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 74.1%
Result
Jim O'Brien favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
O'Brien
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
O'Brien
Bozak
Last 9: O'Brien 2-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
6
O'Brien
Bozak
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
O'Brien
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (151)
52.8% (697)
-4.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.9% (171)
+49.1%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
53.3% (195)
-14.5%
On power play, O'Brien has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. O'Brien is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (78).
O'Brien shoots right. Bozak is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Bozak
Home
46.5% (101)
52.1% (530)
Away
44.9% (118)
53.1% (533)
By Period
O'Brien
Bozak
P1
44.3%
54.1%
P2
48.6%
50.6%
P3
43.9%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.1%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |