Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Tavares wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.4% vs Bozak 52.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 56.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Tavares
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Tavares
Bozak
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
8
Tavares
Bozak
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (716)
52.8% (697)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.4% (208)
50.9% (171)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
53.3% (195)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Tavares is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Tavares shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bozak
Home
50.7% (448)
52.1% (530)
Away
48.1% (482)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Tavares
Bozak
P1
52.8%
54.1%
P2
51.4%
50.6%
P3
43.7%
53.4%
OT
54.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |