Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Bozak 53.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 53.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Staal
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Staal
Bozak
Last 6: Staal 6-0 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
53.6% (977)
+2.3%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
52.2% (186)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
100.0% (6)
-49.4%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Staal is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Staal shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Staal
Bozak
Home
57.2% (684)
55.4% (583)
Away
56.0% (654)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Staal
Bozak
P1
53.0%
51.9%
P2
58.2%
51.1%
P3
58.9%
57.9%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |