Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Eller wins 32.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 43.9% vs Bozak 54.3% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 52.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Eller
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Eller
Bozak
Last 7: Eller 3-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
Eller
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Eller
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (402)
54.2% (962)
-11.2%
Power Play
16.7% (12)
57.9% (266)
-41.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
52.1% (188)
+14.6%
On power play, Bozak has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Eller is 32.4% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Eller shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Eller
Bozak
Home
44.6% (184)
58.6% (732)
Away
40.9% (247)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Eller
Bozak
P1
45.3%
54.1%
P2
41.5%
55.0%
P3
39.9%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
40.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
42.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |