Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.3% vs Bozak 53.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 58.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 62.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Eller
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Eller
Bozak
Last 7: Eller 1-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Eller
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Eller
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Eller
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (749)
53.6% (977)
-3.5%
Power Play
46.1% (76)
52.2% (186)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
100.0% (6)
-53.4%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +53.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Eller is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Eller
Bozak
Home
51.4% (465)
55.4% (583)
Away
47.3% (491)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Eller
Bozak
P1
47.9%
51.9%
P2
51.6%
51.1%
P3
47.7%
57.9%
OT
62.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |