Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Couture wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 51.3% vs Bozak 52.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 56.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 59.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 59.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Couture
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Couture
Bozak
Last 6: Couture 2-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Couture
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (775)
51.7% (913)
-0.3%
Power Play
59.0% (78)
55.9% (211)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (46)
54.9% (51)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Couture is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Couture shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Couture
Bozak
Home
53.3% (407)
52.8% (615)
Away
49.9% (503)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Couture
Bozak
P1
49.8%
52.5%
P2
53.3%
51.1%
P3
51.2%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |