Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 50.4% vs Bozak 48.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 56.6%
Defensive zone
Bozak 57.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 53.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Couture
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Couture
Bozak
Last 10: Couture 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Couture
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Couture
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (839)
48.8% (1,036)
+2.2%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
53.8% (225)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (63)
39.1% (138)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Couture is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Couture shoots left. Bozak is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Home / Away
Couture
Bozak
Home
51.3% (462)
50.8% (608)
Away
49.6% (488)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Couture
Bozak
P1
54.4%
48.0%
P2
49.4%
48.1%
P3
46.9%
49.8%
OT
58.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
50.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |