Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs Bozak 53.9% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 71.3%
Defensive zone
Couture 70.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 70.6%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Couture
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Couture
Bozak
Last 5: Couture 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Couture
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Couture
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (526)
55.4% (719)
-9.0%
Power Play
42.4% (33)
45.1% (51)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (50)
50.0% (60)
-2.0%
On even strength, Bozak has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Couture is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Couture shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Couture
Bozak
Home
46.5% (333)
55.5% (443)
Away
46.0% (276)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Couture
Bozak
P1
45.7%
53.3%
P2
43.7%
54.7%
P3
48.7%
55.4%
OT
83.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |