Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 46.9% vs Bozak 53.3% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 50.0%
Defensive zone
Shaw 78.1%
Neutral zone
Shaw 66.4%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Shaw
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Shaw
Bozak
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Shaw
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Shaw
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Shaw
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (157)
53.6% (977)
-7.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
52.2% (186)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (43)
100.0% (6)
-60.5%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Shaw is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Shaw shoots right. Bozak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Shaw
Bozak
Home
44.8% (96)
55.4% (583)
Away
45.8% (107)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Shaw
Bozak
P1
46.3%
51.9%
P2
45.6%
51.1%
P3
43.6%
57.9%
Final 5 min
54.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |