Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 49.0% vs Bozak 53.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 65.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 69.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 62.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Johnson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Johnson
Bozak
Last 5: Johnson 3-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Johnson
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
0
Johnson
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
1
Johnson
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (88)
55.4% (719)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
50.0% (60)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Johnson is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Johnson shoots right. Bozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Johnson
Bozak
Home
56.3% (32)
55.5% (443)
Away
44.6% (74)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Johnson
Bozak
P1
45.2%
53.3%
P2
58.1%
54.7%
P3
33.3%
55.4%
Final 5 min
44.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
48.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2018 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 16:59 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |