Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.6%). Look for Reasoner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 51.9% vs Bozak 52.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 53.9%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 57.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 59.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Reasoner
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Reasoner
Bozak
Last 5: Reasoner 4-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
2
1
Reasoner
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
0
Reasoner
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
0
Reasoner
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (244)
52.8% (697)
+2.5%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
50.9% (171)
+49.1%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (51)
53.3% (195)
-18.0%
On power play, Reasoner has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Reasoner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Reasoner shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Bozak
Home
50.0% (142)
52.1% (530)
Away
54.8% (157)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Reasoner
Bozak
P1
49.0%
54.1%
P2
60.0%
50.6%
P3
48.5%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |