Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.3% vs Bozak 53.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 57.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 79.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 57.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Koivu
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Koivu
Bozak
Last 5: Koivu 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Koivu
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Koivu
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (1,073)
53.6% (977)
-2.9%
Power Play
65.3% (216)
52.2% (186)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (286)
100.0% (6)
-56.6%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Koivu is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (594).
Koivu shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Koivu
Bozak
Home
50.9% (752)
55.4% (583)
Away
51.8% (823)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Koivu
Bozak
P1
51.9%
51.9%
P2
50.3%
51.1%
P3
51.4%
57.9%
OT
70.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |