Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 49.6% vs Bozak 52.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 86.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 78.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.7%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Thompson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Thompson
Bozak
Last 10: Thompson 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
4
Thompson
Bozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
0
Thompson
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
0
Thompson
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (408)
51.7% (913)
-1.5%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
55.9% (211)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (164)
54.9% (51)
-7.9%
On power play, Thompson has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Thompson is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Thompson shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bozak
Home
49.3% (304)
52.8% (615)
Away
49.7% (288)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Thompson
Bozak
P1
49.7%
52.5%
P2
46.9%
51.1%
P3
52.1%
55.2%
OT
20.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |