Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 50.8% vs Bozak 48.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 68.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 78.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 83.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Thompson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Thompson
Bozak
Last 8: Thompson 7-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
1
Thompson
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (785)
48.8% (1,036)
+3.4%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
53.8% (225)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (175)
39.1% (138)
+6.6%
On power play, Bozak has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Thompson is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Thompson shoots left. Bozak is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bozak
Home
54.1% (475)
50.8% (608)
Away
47.9% (499)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Thompson
Bozak
P1
50.0%
48.0%
P2
49.5%
48.1%
P3
54.0%
49.8%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |