Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Thompson wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 51.7% vs Bozak 55.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 69.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Thompson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Thompson
Bozak
Last 8: Thompson 2-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
6
Thompson
Bozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (380)
56.4% (837)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
60.8% (186)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (55)
33.3% (36)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Thompson is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Thompson shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bozak
Home
53.9% (243)
58.7% (516)
Away
50.0% (208)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Thompson
Bozak
P1
46.9%
55.7%
P2
62.2%
53.4%
P3
47.5%
59.7%
OT
100.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
44.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |