Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.3% vs Bozak 52.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 61.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 50.7%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 56.6%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Backstrom
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
18
(26 meetings)
8
18
Backstrom
Bozak
Last 10: Backstrom 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
7
Backstrom
Bozak
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
8
Backstrom
Bozak
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Backstrom
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (654)
52.8% (697)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.9% (110)
50.9% (171)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (76)
53.3% (195)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Backstrom is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Backstrom shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Bozak
Home
52.0% (400)
52.1% (530)
Away
50.9% (440)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Backstrom
Bozak
P1
51.6%
54.1%
P2
51.1%
50.6%
P3
50.7%
53.4%
OT
65.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |